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EVALUATION OF MARKET AND FORECAST OF ITS DEVELOPMENT FOR 2011-2015.
Regions of research:
RUSSIA AND REGIONS OF RF
Main blocks of research:
VOLUME OF RUSSIAN MARKET OF LEASING
SEGMENTATION OF RUSSIAN MARKET OF LEASING
LARGEST PLAYERS ON THE RUSSIAN MARKET OF LEASING
CERTAIN PRODUCTS SEGMENTS
TRENDS ON THE RUSSIAN MARKET OF LEASING
CONSUMER BEHAVIOR OF CLIENTS
FORECAST OF DEVELOPMENT OF THE LEASING MARKET FOR 2011-2015.
Полное описание отчета
Market segmentation:
BY REGIONS OF RUSSIA
BY FEDERAL DISTRICTS OF RUSSIA
BY EQUIPMENT SEGMENTS
BY LARGEST ENTERPRISES
Information sources used:
Federal State Statistics Service
Ministry of economic development
Federal Customs Service
Federal Tax Service
Field experts’ evaluations
Reports of retail sales
Materials of the main field players
Professional associations data
Field printed and electronic publications
The research presents 20 schedules, 19 diagrams and 36 tables.
EXTRACTS FROM RESEARCH
VOLUME OF RUSSIAN MARKET OF LEASING
The most accurate characteristic when evaluating the leasing market would be the number of new deals, concluded during the calendar period – it allows to understand, how effective was the activity of leasing companies and how fast their portfolios are developing.
Volume of leasing market in 2006-2010 was changing noticeably. If until 2007 there was active growth by ***-***% annually, then after the financial crisis the volume of market reduced significantly, having decreased in 2009 to *** bln. rubles, after that, in 2010, there was a new peak of growth up to the level of 2008. In 2010 the volume of market exceeded *** bln. rubles.
In 2006-2010 more than a half of deals accounted for Moscow, St. Petersburg, Central and North-Western Federal Districts. Share of Moscow and the Central FD only in 2008 was less than ***% of market (***%).
Besides the metropolitan regions, the noticeable shares in the total volume of leasing deals were made up by the deals in Volga (***-***%) and Siberian (***-***%) Federal Districts.?
SEGMENTS OF MARKET
In 2010 the largest market share on concluded deals accounted for the segments of railroad machinery (***%), air transport (***%), freight transport (***%) and light motor (***%) vehicles, also construction (***%) and road-building machinery (***%), real estate (***%).
a half of volume increase of new leasing contracts in 2010 accounted for railroad machinery (*** bln. rub.). Significant, although not as remarkable, growth was observed in the segments of freight transport (*** bln.rub.), air transport (*** bln.rub.) vehicles and also light motor vehicles (*** bln.rub.). In the other segments the total growth of deals did not exceed *** bln.rub.
Railroad machinery had regularly high share in the total volume of leasing deals – starting from 2008, it had over 25% of total volume of deals, in 2010 its share of contracts made up 39%.
In 2010 the share of the majority of other types of machines experienced certain reduction due to the outrunning growth of the railroad machinery share. It is worth being mentioned that, however, in the largest segments the reduction did not refer to freight aviation transport, construction and road-building machines.
Despite the fastest growth, the share of Volga FD in 2007-2010 reduced by ***% due to the relatively fast growth rate of Urals FD.
Table. Volume of new contracts by segments of machines in 2008-2010, mln. rub.
2007 2008 2009
All segments *** *** ***
Railroad machinery *** *** ***
Air transport *** *** ***
Freight transport *** *** ***
Light motor vehicles *** *** ***
Construction machines *** *** ***
Road-building machines *** *** ***
Buildings and constructions *** *** ***
Equipment for oil production and processing *** *** ***
Ships (sea and river) *** *** ***
Power-generating equipment *** *** ***
Other *** *** ***
4.5. Leasing of light motor vehicles
Until 2008 the segment of leasing of light motor vehicles was noticeably behind the leasing of freight transport. However, as a result of the financial crisis in 2008-2009 the reduction of the segment turned out to be a lot less significant, which resulted in the fact that the shares of the segments were equal. In 2010 the Russian leasing companies concluded contracts for the amount of *** bln. rub.
In 2010, the largest leasing company in the segment was the «Europlan» company – it has increased its share in the segment by 9 percentage points in 2008-2010. Another noticeable player was the «CARCADE leasing» company that accounted for about ***% of the market in the same year. Cars leasing sector is one of the few sectors where the majority of leading positions refer to the companies mainly directed at one segment of equipment.
The development of light motor vehicles leasing segment is much influenced by the same factors that influence the segment of freight transport, which makes the med-term of stability very doubtful. It is worth being mentioned, however, that the segment of light motor vehicles is marked by comparatively high degree of stability – larger number of contracts provided lesser cost and comparatively larger number of customers “spread out” the demand for the majority of potential lessees. So it is expected that in the nearest future the segment will retain its share in the general volume of leasing market.
Besides, from 2011 the limitation allowing to lease only business-purpose equipment was removed, and it began to be possible to lease certain types of consumer goods. Demand for leasing of light motor vehicles may result in noticeable growth of the volume and share of segment of the market of leasing.?
TRENDS ON THE RUSSIAN MARKET OF LEASING
Companies’ specialization
Leasing companies, in fact, fulfill two functions: aggregating the capital for subsequent transferring it to the lessees (crediting functions) and management of property owned by the company and leased (managing functions).
As opposed to the companies, providing only loan services, the leasing companies have to directly interact with the subject of leasing and in the majority of contracts they bear the responsibility for its condition. The companies either arrange their own departments responsible for the quality control of the leased objects and, if necessary, their maintenance or transfer these functions to subcontractors.
The degree of such embarrassment by the leased object is different in various segments of equipment – one of the most exemplary in this respect is the leasing of light motor vehicles. Many leasing companies, specializing in this segment, in the end come up to arranging their own technical service, which is engaged in the observance of condition of cars and their maintenance.
Such specialization of companies, being based not only on the specialists’ knowledge and their awareness of certain segments of leased objects, but also on the organizational structure of the companies themselves, education of hired specialists, in the majority of small companies results in the orientation to one certain segment, with which the company operates successfully and it becomes impossible to carry out an effective expansion into other segments.
FORECAST OF DEVELOPMENT OF THE RUSSIAN LEASING MARKET FOR 2011-2015
Forecasts of the leasing market development, given by domestic analytical agencies and market participants, in the majority of cases differed much with the actual market development, although they reflected the trend of its development in general. So, for example, in 2008 and 2010 the participants of the market expected the gradual increase of demand with an average rate of ***-***%. In fact, the growth amounted to ***% and ***% respectively. On the other hand, in 2004 and 2007, when the market growth was also expected within *** percent, the actual increase of the new contracts volume turned out to be insignificant. At the end of 2010 the participants of the market expected the market to grow by ***-***% during 2011. As per the results of activities of certain leasing companies in the first six months of 2011, their growth made up over ***%.
It should be pointed out that the majority of domestic evaluations of the leasing market development, as far as one can judge, are based on the previous dynamics of the Russian market. Meanwhile, the international comparisons allow to evaluate the realistic capacity of market and apt dynamics of its development.
Global market of leasing in 1991-2009 was growing at the average annual growth rate of ***%, and before the crisis period of 2008-2009, the growth rate was equal to ***%. In the world’s economy there were similar problems as in Russia – deferred payments, lack of liquidity and high investment risks. These factors lead to the reduction of leasing market by ***% during 2008-2009.
Besides, in the dynamics of the market development one may notice certain waves of accelerated market growth, resulting in its certain subsequent reduction. At that, in 2006-2007 instead of the regular insignificant reduction there was a sharp growth – and the same sharp decrease in 2008-2009.
It should also be noted that on the Russian market of leasing the dynamics was similar – in 2007-2008 the number of new contracts in absolute terms was larger than in any other previous year. The Russian market of leasing differed from the global market noticeably in 2000-es only in a higher “trying to catch up” development as compared to the world’s average level.
The second important factor that needs to be taken into account is the share of leasing in the country’s GDP.
So the share of ***% from the GDP volume appears to be a natural limit of the leasing market development in the majority of steady-state economies, at that, the slower the rates of the national economy development, obviously, the smaller this share would be.
According to evaluation of the World Bank, GDP of RF by 2015 shall double in the nominal (non-normalized for inflation) terms twice and exceed *** tln. USD (or about *** tln. rub.). In 2010 the leasing market had about ***% of the volume of the Russian GDP in money terms. So, if the current share is retained in the GDP, by 2015 the leasing market shall increase in *** in nominal terms.
However, according to evaluation analysts, the market has the potential for development also in the GDP share. Higher rates of economic development, as compared to the majority of western countries, various programs for development of different fields, developed by the Ministry of Industry and Trade of the Russian Federation, mean comparatively large share of investments into the production as compared to GDP. According to the opinion analysts, the leasing market may grow up to ***% of GDP by 2015, after that it shall become stable.
In physical terms it may lead to *** growth of the leasing market in physical terms – in this case by 2015 it will exceed *** bln.rub. Annual growth rate of the market shall make up about ***%. At the level of about *** bln.rub. it is possible that the market growth shall become stable and it will turn into developed (in the cross-point of the curves on the Schedule).
Подробное оглавление
METHODS OF RESEARCH
LIST OF SCHEDULES, DIAGRAMS AND TABLES
1. GENERAL ECONOMIC POSITION OF RUSSIA
1.1. Population of Russia
Population number
Largest cities
Social standard of living
Economic activity
1.2. Economic situation
Dynamics of economic development
Stability of state budget
1.3. Russia’s position in the world
Share of RF in the global population
2. METHODS OF RESEARCH
2.1. Description and types of leasing
2.2. Methodic explanations to research
3. VOLUME OF RUSSIAN MARKET OF LEASING
3.1. Volume of leasing market
3.2. Regional structure of leasing market
3.3. Largest companies on the leasing market
Volumes of new transactions
Volume of portfolio
3.4. Main characteristics of market
Share of overdue payments
Term of accounts payable turnover
Term of accounts receivable turnover
Profitability of sales
4. SEGMENTS OF MARKET
4.1. Structure of market by main segments of products
4.2. Leasing of railroad machinery
Volume of segment
Largest players in the segment
4.3. Leasing of air transport
Volume of segment
Largest players in the segment
4.4. Freight transport leasing
Volume of segment
Largest players in the segment
4.5. Light motor vehicles leasing
Volume of segment
Largest players in the segment
4.6. Real estate leasing
Volume of segment
Largest players in the segment
5. STATE REGULATION
6. TRENDS ON THE RUSSIAN MARKET OF LEASING
6.1. Trends on the market
Competitive prospects of the service
Accelerated depreciation
Companies’ specialization
Reinforcement of state companies
6.2. Leasing associations
Rosleasing
OLA
6.3. Customers’ behavior
7. PROFILES OF COMPANIES
7.1. " ZEST" JSC
Reference information
Activities
Financials of activity
7.2. "TRANSFIN-M " LLC
Reference information
Activities
Balance sheet
Profit and loss statement
Financials of activity
7.3. «FLK «KAMAZ» LLC
Reference information
Activities
Balance sheet
Profit and loss statement
Cash-flow statement
Financials of activity
7.4. “VW GROUP FINANZ” LLC
Reference information
Activities
Balance sheet
Profit and loss statement
Cash-flow statement
Financials of activity
7.5. “CHELINDLEASING” LLC
Reference information
Activities
Balance sheet
Profit and loss statement
Financials of activity
7.6. “UTAIR-LEASING” LLC
Reference information
Activities
Balance sheet
Profit and loss statement
Cash-flow statement
Financials of activity
8. FORECAST OF DEVELOPMENT OF THE RUSSIAN LEASING MARKET FOR 2011-2015.
9. ENCLOSURE 1. VOLUME OF NEW BUSINESS OF LEASING COMPANIES IN 2006-2010.
10. ENCLOSURE 2. VOLUME OF RATING COMPANIES PORTFOLIO AS OF 1ST OF JANUARY, 2006-2010.
11. ENCLOSURE 3. VOLUME OF RECEIVED LEASING PAYMENTS AS OF 1ST OF JANUARY, 2007-2011.
INFORMATION ABOUT
Приложения
List of schedules:
1. Number of population of Russia in 2000, 2005, 2010 and forecast for 2015 and 2020, ths. peop.
2. Dynamics of the employed and unemployed population of RF in 2006-2010, ths.peop.
3. Dynamics of GDP of RF in the prices of 2003 in 2002-2010, bln.rub.
4. Investments into the fixed capital in RF in 2001-2010
5. Dynamics of total external debt of RF in 2001-2010
6. Share of RF in the population of the world in 2000-2010 and forecast until 2100
7. Share of RF in the world’s GDP in 2000-2100 and forecast for 2011-2016, %
8. Volume of the new deals on the leasing market in 2006-2010, bln.rub.
9. Total portfolio of the Russian leasing companies in 2006-2010, bln.rub.
10. Proceeds from the financial lease services in the largest regions of RF by quarters 2009-2011, ths.rub.
11. Average period of accounts receivable turnover of the leasing companies in RF by quarters 2009-2011, days
12. Average period of accounts payable turnover of the leasing companies in RF by quarters 2009-2011, days
13. Dynamics of volume of the concluded deals for leasing of railroad machinery in RF in 2008-2010, mln.rub.
14. Dynamics of volume of the concluded deals for leasing of aviation equipment in RF in 2008-2010, mln.rub.
15. Dynamics of volume of the concluded deals for leasing of freight motor transport in RF in 2008-2010, mln.rub.
16. Dynamics of volume of the concluded deals for leasing of light motor transport in RF in 2008-2010, mln.rub.
17. Dynamics of volume of the concluded deals for leasing of real estate in RF in 2008-2010, mln.rub.
18. Share of real estate on the Russian market of leasing in 2006-2010, %
19. Dynamics of volume of the global leasing market by volume of new deals in 1990-2009, bln. USD.
20. Dynamics of volume of the Russian leasing market by volume of new deals and its share in the GDP in 2001-2010 and forecast for 2011-2015, mln.rub., %
List of diagrams:
1. Dynamics of real disposable income of population in 2000-2010, %
2. Dynamics of the share of unemployed in the economically active population of RF by federal districts in 2006-2010, %
3. Surplus/deficit of the RF consolidated budget in 2006-2010, %
4. Consumer price index in RF in 2001-2010, %
5. Share of leasing in the total volume of investments into the fixed capital in RF in 2006-2010, %
6. Regional dynamics of the leasing market structure in 2006-2010, %
7. Structure of the Russian leasing market by largest volume of new business of companies in 2010, %
8. Dynamics of structure of the largest Russian leasing companies by volume of new deals in 2008-2010, %
9. Structure of the Russian leasing market by the portfolio of the largest companies in 2010, %
10. Dynamics of portfolio shares of the largest Russian leasing companies in 2008-2010, %
11. Share of overdue payments on financial lease in the total volume of accounts receivable in RF, Moscow and St. Petersburg by quarters 2009-2011, %
12. Sales profitability of financial lease in RF by quarters 2005-2011, %
13. Structure of the Russian lease market by the largest volume of the new business of enterprises in 2010, %
14. Dynamics of structure of the largest Russian leasing companies by volume of new deals in 2008-2010, %
15. Dynamics of structure of the new deals for leasing of railroad machinery by the main leasing companies in 2008-2010, %
16. Dynamics of structure of the new deals on leasing of aviation equipment by the main leasing companies in 2008-2010, %
17. Dynamics of structure of the new deals for leasing of freight motor transport by the main leasing companies in 2008-2010, %
18. Dynamics of structure of the new deals for leasing of light motor transport by main leasing companies in 2008-2010, %
19. Dynamics of structure of the new deals for leasing of real estate by main leasing companies in 2008-2010, %
List of tables:
1. Population of the largest cities of Russia according to the National Population Census dated 2010, ths.peop.
2. Proceeds from the financial lease services in the largest regions of RF by quarters 2009-2011, ths.rub.
3. Volume of new business of the largest leasing companies in 2008-2010, mln. rub.
4. The largest Russian leasing companies by total portfolio in 2008-2010, mln. rub.
5. Volume of the new contracts by segments of equipment in 2008-2010, mln.rub.
6. Dynamics of volume of the concluded deals for leasing of railroad machinery by the main leasing companies in 2008-2010, mln.rub.
7. Dynamics of volume of the concluded deals for leasing of railroad machinery by the main leasing companies in 2008-2010, mln.rub.
8. Dynamics of volume of the concluded deals for leasing of freight motor transport leasing by the main leasing companies in 2008-2010, mln.rub.
9. Dynamics of volume of the concluded deals for leasing of light motor transport by main leasing companaies in 2008-2010, mln.rub.
19. Dynamics of structure of the new deals for leasing of real estate by main leasing companaies in 2008-2010, %
10. Dynamics of volume of the concluded deals for leasing of real estate by main leasing companaies in 2008-2010, mln.rub.
11. Shareholders «ZEST» JSC
12. Dynamics of activities «ZEST» JSC
13. Shareholders «TRANSFIN-M» LLC
14. Balance sheet «TRANSFIN-M» LLC, ths.rub.
15. Profit and loss statement «TRANSFIN-M» LLC, ths.rub.
16. Dynamics of activities «TRANSFIN-M» LLC
17. Shareholders «FLK «KAMAZ» LLC
18. Balance sheet «FLK «KAMAZ» LLC, ths.rub.
19. Profit and loss statement «FLK «KAMAZ» LLC, ths.rub.
20. Cash-flow statement «FLK «KAMAZ» LLC
21. Dynamics of activities «FLK «KAMAZ» LLC
22. Number of personnel «VW GROUP FINANZ» LLC, peop.
23. Shareholders «VW GROUP FINANZ» LLC
24. Balance sheet «VW GROUP FINANZ» LLC, ths.rub.
25. Profit and loss statement «VW GROUP FINANZ» LLC, ths.rub.
26. Cash-flow statement «VW GROUP FINANZ» LLC
27. Dynamics of activities «VW GROUP FINANZ» LLC
28. Shareholders «CHELINDLEASING» LLC
29. Balance sheet «CHELINDLEASING» LLC, ths.rub.
30. Profit and loss statement «CHELINDLEASING» LLC, ths.rub.
31. Dynamics of activities «CHELINDLEASING» LLC
32. Shareholders «UTAIR-LEASING» LLC
33. Balance sheet «UTAIR-LEASING» LLC, ths.rub.
34. Profit and loss statement «UTAIR-LEASING» LLC, ths.rub.
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Subject of research: MARKET OF LEASING Goal of research: EVALUATION OF MARKET AND FORECAST OF ITS DEVELOPMENT FOR 2011-2015. Regions of research: RUSSIA AND REGIONS OF RF Main blocks of research: VOLUME OF RUSSIAN MARKET OF LEASING SEGMENTATION OF RUSSIAN MARKET OF LEASING LARGEST PLAYERS ON THE RUSSIAN MARKET OF LEASING CERTAIN PRODUCTS SEGMENTS... Читать дальше
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