| Название отчета | The analysis of the Russian cellular communications market and the main trends of its development (by the results of 2004 and the 1st quarter of 2005) | | Код исследования | 953 | | Тип работы | Маркетинговое исследование | | Регион | Россия | | Отрасль | Телекоммуникации, Информационные технологии | | Дата выхода отчета | 24.06.2005 | | Количество страниц | 141 | | Язык отчета | Русский | | Стоимость | 20000 Российский рубль | | Краткое описание отчета | This analysis report generalizes the results of marketing research of the Russian cellular communications market that was done by “Modern Telecommunications” LLC following the results of 2004 and I quarter of 2005.
The Russian cellular mobile communications market is in dynamic progress, being one the most attractive segment of country telecommunications market to invest.
The largest Russian operator companies go on the construction of nationwide cellular communications networks actively. The realization of those plans in the near prospective will permit to provide subscribers with equal conditions on the whole territory of Russia and involve the unification of set of main and additional services being rendered, technical solutions, and the organization of intranetwork and internetwork national and international roaming, including services on the basis of data transfer.
The consolidation of cellular communications market is being finished by mean of enlargement of its participants. The operators possess financial assets of shareholders and investors and are looking for ways of the most efficient development of their networks.
Under the circumstances the complex estimation of state and development prospective of regional cellular communications markets, competence level and potential, correlation of forces in the market are very actual for successful realization of investment telecommunication projects. | | Подробное оглавление | Содержание:
INTRODUCTION
1. The analysis of coverage of Russian regions by cellular mobile communications networks of various standards and changes in market’s shared distribution between various cellular communications standards and regions.
1.1. The general classification of cellular mobile communications standards being applied in Russia.
1.2. Cellular mobile communications networks of the federal standard of NMT-450.
1.3. CMC networks of the federal standard GSM.
1.4. CMC networks of the federal standard IMT MC (cdma 2000).
1.5. The CMC networks of regional standard of AMPS (DAMPS, NAMPS)
1.6. WLL networks on the basis of IS-95 (CDMA) cellular communications standard.
1.7. The general estimation of CMC standards’ shared distribution in Russia.
1.8. The estimation of CMC standards’ shared distribution in federal districts,
2. The dynamics of changing of the CMC networks operators’ subscriber base of various standards in 2001-2004, operators’ rating estimation.
2.1. Analysis of changing of the cellular communications operators’ subscriber base of GSM standard in 2001-2004.
2.1.1. Analysis of change of cellular communications operators’ subscriber base in the Russian Federation and GSM standard in the 1st quarter of 2005.
2.2. Analysis of CMC operators AMPS standard subscriber base change in 2004.
2.3. Analysis of change of NMT-450 standard CMC operators’ subscriber base in 2000-2004.
2.4. The generalized relative estimation of development of cellular networks operators of all standards by the number of subscribers as of 31.12.2004.
3. The estimation of the level of cellular communications’ penetration (in whole, by federal districts, by constituent entities of the Russian Federation) by the results of 2004.
4. The analysis of dynamics of changing of the main economic parameters of leading Russian cellular communications operators’ activity.
4.1. The analysis of the main economical parameters of the activity of JSC “MTS” by the results of 2004.
4.2. The analysis of the main economic parameters of the activity of JSC “VympelKom” by the results of 2004.
4.3. The analysis of the main economic parameters of the activity of the leading “Megafon” holding operators in 2004.
5. The estimation of competence in the regional cellular communications market, rating estimation of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation by level and potential of competence.
5.1. The description of the approach to the competence estimation in the regional cellular communications market
5.2. The estimation of the competence level on the regional cellular communications markets.
5.3. The estimation of the competence potential on the regional cellular communications market.
6. The plans of investment activity of the main CMC market participants in Russia in 2005-2006.
6.1. The classification and brief characteristics of the main investors on the Russian cellular communications market.
6.2. JSC "System-Теlеcом" (AFK "System"/Deutsche Telecom)
6.3. JSC "VympelKom"/Alfa-group/Telenor
6.4. JSC "Megafon" / "Telecominvest" / Sonera Corp./ Telia AB/ LLC "CT-Mobile"
6.5. MCT Corporation
6.6. Tele2
6.7. JSC ”Svyazinvest”
6.8. Independent regional company SMARTS.
7. The estimation of general cellular communications development trends in 2005-2006
7.1. The prospective of 2,5/2,75/3G technologies deployment by the Russian operators.
7.1.1. The state and prospective of GPRS data transfer networks deployment by the Russian operators
7.1.2. The state and prospective of EDGE data transfer network deployment by the Russian operators.
7.1.3. The state and prospective of IMT MC (cdma2000) standard networks deployment by the Russian operators.
7.1.4. Prospective of 3G/UMTS networks deployment by the Russian operators.
7.2. Prospective of activity as cellular communications virtual operator in Russia.
7.2.1. Experience of MVNO business-models realization in Russia.
7.2.2. Risks and problem of MVNO cooperation with CMC operators.
7.3. Determination of problem issues of regulatory environment development in the interests of CMC market participants.
CONCLUSION | | Приложения | Перечень приложений:
To 1st Division:
Appendix 1-1. Data on and NMT-450 cellular communications standard licensees and operators as of 31.12.2004.
Appendix 1-2. Data on and GSM cellular communications standard licensees and operators as of 31.12.2004.
Appendix 1-3. Data on and AMPS (DAMPS, NAMPS) cellular communications standard licensees and operators as of 31.12.2004.
Appendix 1-4. Data on and IS-95 (CDMA) cellular communications standard licensees and operators as of 31.12.2004.
To 7th Division:
Appendix 7-1. The state of elaboration of regulatory documents required for the realization of the Federal Law “On communications”.
Tables: 32
Pictures (graphics and schemes): 39
List of tables:
Table 1.1. Generalized data on effective licenses of the Ministry of informational technologies and telecommunications of the Russian Federation for rendering of services of radiotelephone communications on the basis of various cellular technologies and data on realization of those licenses by the operators (31.03.2004).
Table 1.2. Commercial CMC networks of IMT MC-450 standard on the territory of the Russian Federation by 31.03.2004.
Table 1.3. Data on GSM-1800 licensees on the part of AMPS operators.
Table 1.4. The general estimation of CMC standards’ shared distribution in Russia with due account to IS-95 (CDMA).
Table 2.1. Dynamics of subscriber base distribution in regional networks in 2001-2004.
Table 2.2. Russian regions rating by GSM networks subscriber base increase in 2004.
Table 2.3. Regions rating by the number of GSM networks subscribers by 31.12.2003.
Table 2.4. GSM networks rating by the number of subscribers by 31.12.2003. Table 2.5. GSM networks rating by subscriber base increase in 2003.
Table 2.5. GSM networks rating by subscriber base increase in 2003.
Table 2.6. GSM standard CMC networks subscriber base shared distribution by enlarged operators (holdings) in Russia by 31.12.2003.
Table 2.7. Parameters of cellular communications penetration level in the federal districts of the Russian Federation and their share in the general subscriber base.
Table 2.8. Cellular communications standard rating (by the size of subscriber base) as of 31.03.2004.
Table 2.9. AMPS operators’ subscriber base distribution in the period from 2002 to 2004.
Table 2.10. Change of the shared distribution of the market of the leading operators (holdings) by the results of 2002-2004.
Table 3.1. The rating estimation by the level of penetration of cellular communications and subscriber base in comparison of the federal districts of the Russian Federation as of 31.12.2003.
Table 3.2. The rating estimation of cellular communications’ penetration in twenty leading regions of the Russian Federation by 31.12.2004.
Table 4.1. The main financial results of the activity of JSC “MTS” in 2004.
Table 4.2. The main parameters of the subscriber base of JSC “MTS” in 2004 and in the 1st quarter of 2005.
Table 4.3. The main financial results of the activity of JSC “MTS” in the 1st quarter of 2004.
Table 4.4. The parameters of JSC “VympelKom” subscriber base per 2004.
Table 4.5. The main parameters of the subscriber base as of the end of the 1st quarter of 2005.
Table 4.6. The main parameters of the financial and operational activities of JSC “VympelKom” by the results of 2004
Table 4.7 The main parameters of financial and operational activity of JSC “VympelKom” by the results of the 1st quarter of 2005
Table 4.8. The main parameters of the subscriber base of JSC “VympelKom” in 2000-2004.
Table 4.9. The main financial parameters of JSC “Megafon” in 2001-2004.
Table 5.1. Weight coefficients which account the influence of the penetration level on the competence situation in the constituent entity of the Russian Federation.
Table 5.2. The results of the estimation of the competence level by 31.12.2004.
Table 5.3. The results of the current competence potential estimation by 31.12.2003.
Table 6.1. The composition of MCT Corp. cellular holding by 31.12.2004.
Table 6.2. Composition of cellular holding Tele 2 as of 31.12.2004.
Table 6.3. Financial parameters of SMARTS companies group in 2004.
Table 7.1. Estimation of the shared distribution of GPRS networks on the Russian GSM market (by 31.12.2004).
List of pictures:
Picture 1.1. The distribution of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation in relation to GSM licenses number.
Picture 1.2. The distribution of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation in relation to GSM networks number.
Picture 1.3. Changing of market shares between different CMC standards in Russia from 31.12.1999 to 31.12.2004
Picture 1.4. The shared distribution of the subscriber base by cellular communications standards in the Central federal district.
Picture 1.5. The shared distribution of the subscriber base by cellular communications standards in the Northern-Western federal district.
Picture 1.6. The shared distribution of the subscriber base by cellular communications standards in the Southern federal district.
Picture 1.7. The shared distribution of the subscriber base by cellular communications standards in the Privolzhskiy federal district.
Picture 1.8. The shared distribution of the subscriber base by cellular communications standards in the Ural federal district.
Picture 1.9. The shared distribution of the subscriber base by cellular communications standards in the Sibirskiy federal district.
Picture 1.10. The shared distribution of the subscriber base by cellular communications standards in the Far-Eastern federal district.
Picture 2.1. The dynamics of distribution of the GSM standard subscriber base between the capital and other regions of the Russian Federation in 2002-2004.
Picture 2.2. Dynamics of the change of distribution of GSM networks in the constituent entities of the Russian Federation by the scale of subscriber base in 2000-2004.
Picture 2.3. GSM standard CMC networks subscriber base shared distribution by cellular holdings in Russia by 31.12.2004.
Picture.2.4. Federal-scale GSM operators subscriber base shared distribution by “Moscow/regions” characteristics (31.12.2004).
Picture2.5. Federal-scale GSM operators subscriber base shared distribution by “Moscow/regions” characteristics (31.12.2003).
Picture 2.6. Federal-scale GSM operators subscriber base shared distribution in the Moscow region (31.12.2004).
Picture 2.7. Federal-scale GSM operators subscriber base shared distribution in the Moscow region (31.12.2003).
Picture 2.8. Federal-scale GSM operators subscriber base shared distribution outside the Moscow region (31.12.2004).
Picture 2.9. Federal-scale GSM operators subscriber base shared distribution outside the Moscow region (31.12.2003).
Picture 2.10. Shared distribution of GSM standard CMC networks subscriber base by enlarged operators (holdings) in Russia by 31.03.2004.
Picture 2.11. The dynamics of GSM standard subscriber base distribution between the capital regions and the rest of ones of the Russian Federation in the 1st quarter of 2005.
Picture 2.12. Dynamics of AMPS standard CMC operators subscriber base in 2001-2004.
Picture 2.13. Dynamics of AMPS standard CMC operators market share change in 2001-2004, %.
Picture 2.14. The dynamics of NMT-450 networks’ subscriber base’s change for the period from 2000 to 2004.
Picture 2.15. Market’s share of NMT-450 networks operators in Russia for the period from 2000 to 2004.
Picture 3.1. Dynamics of the growth of cellular communications’ penetration in Russia and in Moscow region from 1999 to 2004.
Picture 4.1. Dynamics of change of ARPU and MOU in 2000-2004.
Picture 4.2. Dynamics of development investment of networks of JSC “MTS” in the period 2000-2004 (million USD)
Picture 4.3. The dynamics of ARPU and MOU changes in 2001-2004
Picture 4.4. Dynamics of the investment of networks construction of JSC “Vympelkom” for the period from 2001 to 2004 (million USD)
Picture 4.5. The dynamics of investment of networks construction of JSC “Megafon” in the period from 2001 to 2005 (million USD)
Picture 6.1. The distribution of shares of cellular communications market between the main operators-holdings.
Picture 6.2. The shared distribution of the market between the leading operators (holdings) as of 31.12.2004.
Picture 6.3. The market shares of MTS and subsidiary companies by 31.12.2004 by the federal districts of the Russian Federation.
Picture 6.4. The market shares of “VympelKom” and subsidiary companies as of 31.12.2004 by federal districts of the Russian Federation.
Picture 6.5. The market shares of “Megafon” and subsidiary companies as of 31.12.2004 by the federal districts of the Russian Federation
Picture 7.1. Dynamics on GPRS networks launch in Russia
Picture 7.2. Estimation of the coverage of constituent entities of the Russian Federation by the GPRS commercial networks. (by 31.12.2004)
Picture 7.3. Shared distribution of the GPRS commercial networks between cellular holdings
(by 31.12.2004) | | Способ предоставления | Печатный или электронный вид |
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